Version 2 of my estimates. I'm now using the new CBEDs, but the numbers may shift depending on how CCS deals with schools without track teams and schools with boys and girls in different leagues. I basically did the calculation for boys and girls separate, but assumed that coed schools had equal number of boys and girls. Anyways, here's the new results:
League Boys Girls BVAL 9 10 PAL 5 5 SCVAL 5 6 MBL 4 4 MTAL 2 2 SCCAL 3 3 PSAL 1 1 WCAL 3 GPSAL 1
Most of the changes are due to the fact that I screwed up last
time in
dealing with the schools with boys and girls in different
leagues (I think I
did it more right this time).
-ernie.
Folks,
The "new" track by-laws on the CCS website has an
explanation of how
the qualifiers to the CCS Trials meet would come from the
leagues without a
sub-section meet. I did a quick calculation using last year's
CBED's to see
how many qualifiers each league would get. Please note that
this year's
CBED's will most assuredly be different, but I don't think that
the number
of qualifiers would change much.
League Boys Girls SCVAL 5 (-4) 6 (-4) PAL 6 (-3) 6 (-4) BVAL 9 (-3) 9 (-3) WCAL 2 (-3) GPSL 1 (-1) SCCAL 3 (-1) 3 (-1) MBL 4 (-2) 4 (-2) MTAL 2 (-0) 2 (-0) PSAL 1 (-0) 1 (-1) CPSAL 0 0
That adds up to 32 total. The numbers in parentheses are the difference from the old sub-section method of qualifying 48 total (I'm pretty sure I did this right, but the number of previous qualifiers were from memory). What does this all mean? I'm not sure. Remember, though, that there is an at-large provision, but it's only if the mark is in the top 8 out of all of the leagues, so it would be extremely unlikely for any SCVAL non-automatic qualifier to make it as an at-large.
Just something to chew on now that cross country is over. -ernie.