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The annual DyeStat Elite Top 25 series (formerly Foot Locker Favorites and renamed given additional options available now) are national and regional rankings of cross-country runners based on distance-running accomplishments to date, with an emphasis on XC and 3200/2M track results, rather than a projection of how the Foot Locker Finals or NXN Finals will turn out (predictions run later in the season).
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Goethals: State meet quality regardless of gender
Nov 6, 2009 Girls Rankings (through Oct. 31 meets)
The Top 25
Megan Goethals Michigan regional effort is among best "vs. boys" comparisons of decade; Frazier, Sisson, Flood, Magg among this week's movers
Story and rankings by SteveU
| Unbeaten Megan Goethals may be ready for a historic race at MIS Saturday. Photo by Pat Davey
| One interesting way of measuring how good a girls’ time on a given XC course is, is to compare it to boys times. A “normal” differential between guys and girls times in elite-level racing is around 2:20. If you average out the 15 total Foot Locker and NXN regional and national races from last fall, the difference between winning times was 2:22.5. That’s a small sample, but reasonably accurate. So, when you see a girls time within 2:00 or less of the winning guys time, you know either the girls field (or at least, winner) was better or it was just a better performance.
One all-time amazing performance in this decade – using that comparison – was Kathy Kroeger’s state title in Tennessee in 2006, the year she won Foot Locker. That year she ran an epic 16:59 for 5k on a fairly tough state meet course, a time just 55 seconds slower than the best winning boys time of 16:04. Clay Adams ran that 16:04 and he was no slouch. Second was Sean Keveren, at 16:12, and he broke 9:00 the following spring in the 3200. Just 31 of the 455 boys in the meet ran faster than Kroeger.
Well, Rochester MI sr Megan Goethals produced a performance last weekend that makes the eyes pop in the same way. Granted, it was “just” a regional, but Goethals ripped a 17:24 for 5k that was a full 2:10 ahead of second place. The boys winner in the 119-runner field ran just 16:35, only 49 ahead of the top Foot Locker returnee. Even more impressive: Goethals would have finished 5th in the boys race. Yes, she would have qualified for the boys D1 state meet with ease.
So far this season, the performances of the senior have been perhaps a little undervalued here – partly due to the fact that she’s been limited to in-state competition and has gotten someone to run with (if even for a little while) on infrequent occasions. But Saturday’s state meet will provide a chance for Goethals to get some deserved national attention. She already has the state meet record at MIS (used since 1998) of 17:10, but hammering that down well under 17:00, which she just may do with the motivation and good conditions, would inspire some of the same awe that Dathan Ritzenhein’s 14:10 did here in 2000. Goethals’ effort last week moved her past Aislinn Cuffe to US#2
Other highlights that caused minor shifts in the rankings
- Ravenscroft NC frosh Wesley Frazier topped the CR at the NCISSA champs, running 17:36 to beat her own 17:42 from earlier in the season (from #6 to #5)
- Parkway Central MO sr Emily Sisson continued to sharpen for the post-season and a possible fourth Foot Locker Finals berth, taking her section meet in 18:58 after winning the district the week before. In both instances, teammate and fellow FL Finalist Diane Robison ran on cruise control, helping teammates further back (from #16 to #14). One hopes to see Sisson and Robison all out in the same race for the first time this season Saturday at the MO 4A state meet
- Dowling Catholic sr Katie Flood won her third Iowa 4A title in four years (losing only to teammate Ashlie Decker in 2008) with a 13:50 for 4k (from #18 to #15)
- Jesuit OR sr Annamarie Maag continued her complete rule of the NW with another sub-18:00, running 17:51 in her league meet (from #20 to #16).
Newcomers
- North Royalton OH jr Hannah Neczypor returns to the Top 25 at #22, following a regional meet victory in 17:33.07, beating Madeline Chambers, the leader of MW#1 Magnificat
- Pennsbury PA frosh Sara Sargent enters the rankings after topping previous #25 Meghan McGovern to win the PIAA Class AAA District 1 meet in 17:39
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Athlete (preseason in parentheses, plus grad. year, school, state)
| 1. (1) Chelsey Sveinsson, 2011, Greenhill HS, TX | 2. (3) Megan Goethals, 2010, Rochester HS, MI | 3. (2) Aisling Cuffe, 2011, Cornwall Central HS, NY | 4. (4) Molly Grabill, 2011, Rancho Bernardo HS, CA
| 5. (6) Wesley Frazier, 2013, Ravenscroft HS, NC | 6. (5) Sarah Andrews, 2010, The Woodlands HS, TX | 7. (8) Emily Lipari, 2010, Roslyn HS, NY | 8. (9) Kelsey Lakowske, 2011, Boulder HS, CO | 9. (7) Carolyn Baskir, 2010, East Chapel Hill HS, NC | 10. (10) Megan Morgan, 2010, Torrey Pines HS, CA | 11. (11) Jessica Tonn, 2010, Xavier Prep HS, AZ | 12. (12) Chelsea Ley, 2010, Kingsway Regional HS, NJ | 13. (13) Kathryn Fluehr, 2011, Community School of Naples HS, FL | 14. (16) Emily Sisson, 2010, Parkway Central HS, MO | 15. (18) Katie Flood, 2010, Dowling Catholic HS, IA | 16. (20) Annamarie Maag, 2011, Jesuit HS, OR | 17. (15) Diane Robison, 2010, Parkway Central HS, MO | 18. (19) Ashlie Decker, 2010, Dowling Catholic HS, IA | 19. (17) Eleanor Fulton, 2011, Highlands Ranch HS, CO | 20. (21) Malia Cali, 2010, St. Thomas Aquinas HS, LA | 21. (22) Sara Kroll, 2010, Livonia Churchill, MI | 22. (23) Hannah Neczypor, 2011, North Royalton OH | 23. (23) Avery Clifton, 2010, Washburn Rural HS, KS | 24. (24) Carmen Carlos, 2013, McGill-Toolen Catholic HS, AL | 25. (NR) Sara Sargent, 2013, Pennsbury HS, PA | Honorable mention | Teeny Adams CA Nicky Akande GA Alaina Alvarez CA Gaby Anzalone MI Kaelyn Balch KS Saylah Barserian CA Allie Billmeyer CA Liz Brandon ID Emma Brink KY Stephanie Bulder CA Heidi Caldwell NH Mackenzie Carter NY Courtney Chapman NY Allison Clark WA McKenna Coughlin NY Madeline Chambers OH Chloe Curtis CA Jenna Davidner MA Kaitlyn Davis VA Maggie Escobar TX Sarah Fakler AZ Megan Ferowich TN Erin Finn MI Erika Fluehr FL Amanda Fox IL Leah Francis AK Karis Frankian CA Maria Frigo KY Samantha George NC Kinsey Gomez ID Carly Hamilton OH Kaitlin Hanenberg CO Grace Heymsfield AR
| Laura Hoer NC Keelin Hollowood NY Ashley Isham TX Rachel Johnson TX Oliva Jones IL Lavinia Jurkiewicz IL Rolonda Jumbo AZ Ariel Karabinus VA Sydney King NY Kim Kirby TX Carly Kitts TX Kathleen Lautzenheiser VA Abbey Leonardi ME Alex Leptich MI Hannah Luber NY Catrina McAlister CA Cory McGee MS Meghan McGovern PA Sarah McIntosh IL Kaylin Mahoney CA Mackenzie Maki KS Molly Malone NY Sydney Marshall GA Bret McDaniel GA Jenna McMiller WI Erin Menefee CA Liberty Miller CA Clara Milne NM Baylee Mires WA Amanda Moreland NY Michelle Moriset MI Julie Nacouzi CA Sam Nadel NY
| Amy-Eloise Neale WAAndrea Nelson WA Alyssa Nielson TX Shannon Osika MI Megan Patrignelli NY Britten Petrey IL Molly Pezzulo NY Haley Pierce DE Savannah Pio CA Lizzie Predmore NY Jillian Prentice NJ Amanda Russell TX McKinzie Schulz IL Payton Schutte OR Molly Seidel WI Erika Setzler AR Melissa Skiba CA Makenna Smith CA Joanna Stevens VA Kathleen Stevens VA Jacque Taylor CA Michelle Thomas OH Regan Tindell TX Jordan Tomecek MI Sierra Vega CA Megan Venables NJ Laura Vigilante NJ Meredith Wagner OH Kelly Whitley IL Danielle Winslow NY Brooke Wolfe IL Danica Wyson CA Megan Yohe MO |
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